Residential and Nursing Care Market Position Statement 2025 - 2040 - Overall key messages to providers

Given current supply base and future projected demand, it is considered that there is limited need for new net growth in standard residential care up to 2040. It is considered that there is greater need for nursing care and bed-based care that is tailored to a higher complexity of need. 

There are an estimated 337 beds currently unoccupied in Walsall care homes: demand projections for Walsall Council commissioned bed-based care to 2040 are an estimated additional 330 beds.

 There will be some de-commissioning of existing supply that does not meet the requirements set out in this MPS e.g. based on quality of care, so there is room for good quality providers current and new to the Borough to meet needs set out in this Council MPS. 

In addition, Walsall Council is not the sole commissioner and purchaser of bed-based care. Self-funders will need to be able to buy bed-based care in the Borough and other Local Authorities and the NHS are also commissioners of bed-based care in Walsall. 

The biggest projected growth is in 65+ years of age specialist bed-based care and in 18-64 years of age non-specialist care. 

There are also parts of the Borough with limited supply of bed-based care such as the East of the Borough. 

Therefore, and given current under-occupancy in existing bed base in Walsall, some small net growth in bed-based care is required to meet total forecasted demand but there needs to be diversification of the supply base to meet needs set out in this MPS